International Rugby League - Four Nations

Tomkins is key to breaking the Lock

Here we go again. Elland Road, England versus Australia – the nation’s rugby league fans hold their breath.

And, if that wasn’t enough, the 80 minutes will see Aussie captain Darren Lockyer bring down the curtain on arguably one of the greatest careers in the history of the game.

England, and before that Great Britain, have been lambs to slaughter far too often for the Kangaroos – with Lockyer their chief tormentor. Ladbrokes are expecting to witness another almighty chasm in class, with England at 4-1 and the tourists just 1-5.

However, and I’m honest enough to admit my heart may be ruling my head a little, I think Steve McNamara’s improving hosts have a realistic shout of causing an almighty upset.

I refer to the great Muhammad Ali – a father of many fabulous quotes – who once said: “He is who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life.” England will need to chance their arm to beat the Aussies, but for the first time in many a year, we have backs who the Green and Golds will be wary of.

Sam Tomkins has been the player of the tournament. Along with winger Ryan Hall, the full-back has excelled on the big stage. Hall has produced three breath-taking finishes to catch the eye, while Wigan’s talisman has been at his elusive and dangerous best.

Tomkins is England’s key man. England’s pack was formidable last week against the Kiwis, even better than in their 20-36 Wembley defeat to Australia. The likes of Jamie Peacock and Adrian Morley, though, have laid down a decent platform before – it just hasn’t always counted for much.

But with the likes of Tomkins, Tom Briscoe and Hall feeding off a quickly improving half-back partnership between Kevin Sinfield and Rangi Chase, you sense England have points in them.

Jack Reed and Kirk Yeaman are looking like England’s best centres since Keith Senior and Martin Gleeson, and all in all – if McNamara’s team match or better their defensive efforts against New Zealand, you sense a giant-killing could be on the cards.

Tomkins is a solid 5-4 to score anytime, while Hall looks a stand-out price to claim the final try of the game at 11-1 (both Skybet).

For those of you who are not buying into my wave of optimism triggered by last Saturday’s 28-6 success over the Kiwis, the Aussies are evens with Stan James to win by 13+ points.

All eyes will be on Lockyer – the master craftsman of creative rugby calling it a day. I just hope I’m watching the old warhorse Peacock finally lift some international silverware come the final whistle.

International Rugby League - Four Nations

It’s Hall or nothing for England now

There’s a famous saying that ‘good things come to those who wait’, but patience is a luxury England can ill-afford in Four Nations rugby league. It’s all or nothing against the Kiwis on Saturday.

Only a win will see Steve McNamara’s men through to the Elland Road final next weekend and – at 11-8 with Betfred – I’m backing our lads to secure another crack at the Aussies.

Last Saturday’s enthralling 20-36 Wembley defeat to the Kangaroos restored pride among English fans. There were moments when our lads seemed to have the beating of the Green and Golds, and boy did the partisan crowd lap it up.

The adrenaline fuelled buzz as Ryan Hall stormed over for a sensational second try was a rare moment for English rugby league fans. For a few glorious, couple of seconds, it was the men in white who looked like the masters of their trade.

Sure, reality bit back hard. The Aussies – with the aid of one or two questionable calls from the official - reiterated their clinical prowess with ball in hand. We were not far off, though.

McNamara’s men will need to up their game once again. International rugby league leaves little room for error. You either gel quickly, or you’re doomed. Last week’s showing would suggest England are making good progress. Bring on New Zealand.

Led by the irrepressible talents of Benji Marshall, the Four Nations and World Cup holders have a handy knack of raising their game when it really matters.

The bookies are finding it hard to choose. Coral have the Kiwis at 8-11, while England’s 11-8 represents a much shorter return than the widely available 5-1 on offer against Australia.

England’s forwards ran the show early on against Australia. With an intimidating and partisan crowd behind them at the KC Stadium, I’m expecting the hosts to come flying out of the traps once again.

Hall’s finishing prowess and his blossoming partnership with centre Jack Reed caught the eye last week. Back the Leeds winger to open the scoring with the first try – 12-1 with Blue Square.

All eyes, of course, will be on England’s Kiwi-born stand-off Rangi Chase – 25-1 to score the first try in this contest against his countrymen. His country of birth that is.

A sublime talent, capable of unlocking any defence – Super League’s Man of Steel has plenty in his locker. For me, though, Chase epitomises individual class. To flourish at international level, he needs to start appreciating the players around him a little more. The likes of Sam Tomkins and Kevin Sinfield should not be wondering what Chase is going to do next.

At club level, Chase runs the show for Castleford. With England, his combination play with Sinfield and when Tomkins comes into the attacking line, needs to be slicker. Fingers crossed.

New Zealand’s biggest threat comes at half-back –it’s the very reason Chase turned his back on Stephen Kearney’s team. Marshall, Kieran Foran, Isaac Luke, Thomas Leuluai, Nathan Fien and Shaun Johnson. His chances were limited.

England’s defence will have to be tighter. If it is, I’ve no doubt we’ve got the forward power and attacking artillery to see us home. An England win by 13+ points is 5-1 with Stan James.

Tom Briscoe was cruelly denied a Wembley try last week – the winger is 14-1 with Betfred to grab the final try of the game on what is a more familiar stomping ground.

International Rugby League - Four Nations

Capital punishment for England at Wembley?

 

I always find it tough tipping a winner between the Aussies and England. My heart says we're in with a shout - my head tells me I should be worried.

The bookies rarely get their prices drastically wrong and Skybet's 1-6 on a win for the Kangaroos is the best you'll get on Tim Sheen's men.

Sportingbet have Steve McNamara's hosts as far out as 6-1 - surely we're got more chance than that. We all hope so.

Comfortable wins over France and Wales have done little to suggest - not that they ever could - that we're ready for the Green and Golds. The International Rugby League Awards in London on Wednesday night underlined the task facing England - not one of our boys made it into the team of the year.

But enough of the sulking... I think we can give the bookies and Australia a run for their money. Back at Wembley and with a partisan crowd behind them, I fancy England's pack - led by Jamie Peacock, Gareth Ellis and Adrian Morley - to provide a decent platform for the likes of Rangi Chase and Kevin Sinfield to cause our visitors a few problems.

England's strength lays down the middle. With the likes of James Graham, Ben Westwood and Chris Heightington also in attendance, I'm expecting an explosive start from the guys doing the hard yards.

In full-back Sam Tomkins we have an elusive attacking talent that the Aussies will be wary of. The Wigan favourite looks a bargain at 14-1 with Ladbrokes to grab the first try.

England, though, are still gelling and +16 point handicap at evens with bet365 looks the best way to cash in. A good display, though, and who knows what we could do come the final at Elland Road.

Greg Inglis is back for the Kangaroos, but should be a little rusty after so long on the sidelines. A breathtaking centre when in full flow - let's hope, for England's sake, he takes a while to get into his stride.

Full-back - and newly crowned player of the year - Billy Slater is 12-1 to grab a hat-trick and that's surely worth a flutter. The Melbourne ace always looks outstanding against England.

As for Wales versus New Zealand - the Kiwis by 51-60 points is 10-3 with Ladbrokes. It should be a massacre.

International Rugby League - Four Nations

Will Mr Sheens' 4-9 Kangaroos be cleaning up?

The biggest question facing this year's Four Nations is the same one that greets every international rugby league tournament. Can anyone stop Australia?

Tim Sheens' Kangaroos are red-hot favourites at 4-9 with bwin to give retiring captain Darren Lockyer the perfect send off and - let's face it - if you had to put your mortgage on it, that's exactly the outcome we'd all go for.

Home advantage and colder conditions are in England's favour, but given the gulf in talent between Super League and the NRL, it may count for very little.

Steve McNamara's men are 7-1 with Betfred, but will need to gel quickly if they are to compete with the Kiwis and Australia. There was very little in last week's 32-18 win over France to suggest the hosts are ready to trouble the big two.

Saturday's clash with Wales - 250-1 no-hopers with Stan James - allows England the opportunity to sharpen up over another 80 minutes and this delay before the real action begins could be invaluable.

Wales' chances of being competitive rests in the hands and boot of Lee Briers. That said, an England win it will surely be and victory by 31-35 points catches the eye at 6-1 (Stan James).

The Kiwis - 7-2 with Skybet - were blown away by Australia two weeks ago, but you'd be crazy to write off the World Cup winners. With the mercurial talent of Benji Marshall pulling the strings, anything is possible.

Australia, though, will edge tonight's match at Warrington. Blue Square offer 10-11 on a win for Sheens' men by 13+ points and I think that's worth a punt.

The pivotal game in this tournament is set to be England versus New Zealand - the victors of which should meet the green and golds in the final. The creative influence of Kiwi-born stand-off Rangi Chase could prove decisive for England and I'm backing them to reach the Elland Road final. Don't let me down lads.

Aussie full-back Billy Slater tops the top tryscorer betting - 8-1 with Skybet, but if you want a patriotic punt, Ryan Hall is the most reliable winger in the English game - 10-1 with Skybet.

As for an outright winner... let's watch a few games first, but Australia - as always - are the team to beat.

International Rugby League

Chase-ing the dream - is it a step too far?

If you’re patriotic about rugby league, the sight of Rangi Chase in an England shirt tonight is a bitter pill to swallow.

Quite simply, if coach Steve McNamara had enough belief in the English talent at his disposal, Chase wouldn’t get a look in.

McNamara’s selection is a kick in the teeth for English rugby league – make no mistake about it. What he’s saying is clear: We’re not good enough to beat the Kiwis and Australia in the Four Nations.

To give ourselves a chance we need to capitalise on some pathetically weak international regulations that allow us to pick an outrageously talented stand-off born in Hawkes Bay, New Zealand in 1986.

And talented Chase is. Man of Steel in Super League this season and an attacking threat every time he has the ball in hand. He could really make a difference to England’s chances.

But, if like me, you regard the ideology of international sport as the opportunity for men to represent their country and test themselves against the rest of the world – well, this really isn’t it.

Sure, we’ve done it before with Maurie Fa’asavalu and England’s cricket and rugby union teams are also an insult to the old phrase 'representing your country'. It’s the same with other nations too, but it doesn’t make it right.

It’s a means to an end for Chase. He’s desperate to play on the biggest stage of all. Despite all his patriotic English bravado and McNamara churning out ridiculous comments like “he’s committed to the cause” – one thing is for certain – if Kiwi captain Benji Marshall wasn’t around, Chase would be wearing a black shirt this Four Nations.

Gareth Widdop and Danny McGuire both lay in waiting. Widdop has enjoyed a sensational season in the NRL with the Storm at stand-off and deserves the chance to impress for his country of birth.

McGuire ended the campaign in great form for Leeds. If McNamara thinks Chase isn’t stopping English talent from representing their country then he needs his head testing.

If England – 7-1 with Hills to win the Four Nations – are lifting the trophy come November 19, I’ll be bursting with pride. But it won’t be the same feeling as if they’d done it with just English talent. That would be something special. Instead, they’ll always be a bitter taste.

Challenge Cup Quarter-Finals

4-1 drop goal could clinch cup classic

LEE-DING THE WAY: Briers can inspire Warrington down back to Wembley

Back from a glorious two weeks in the Dominican and rugby league welcomes me home with a Saturday Challenge Cup blockbuster. The other three quarter-final contests promise to be tasty clashes as well.

Champions and Super League leaders Wigan Warriors are 7-2 with Unibet to win the Cup before coach Michael Maguire returns Down Under to link up with South Sydney, but will have to overcome holders Warrington Wolves - 12-5 Sportingbet to seal a hat-trick of Wembley triumphs.

The Cherry and Whites were my pre-season tip to top the regular season standings, but Wire to take the Grand Final honours at Old Trafford. This should be an almighty blood and thunder contest between the two best teams the country this campaign and it's a tough one to call for punters.

Wire have ran in 35 more tries than Wigan in Super League this term and Tony Smith's defence has been imposingly cruel, though the Warriors have shipped 10 less points themselves.

Both head into this fixture in fine form, Wigan with six straight wins and Warrington five. The bookies are, not too surprisingly, struggling to split the two - hosts Wire slight favourites at 17-20 (Sportingbet) and Warriors at 5-4 (Blue Square).

Wolves won 24-6 at Wigan in round seven and if they can put in a similar defensive effort will not be too far off the money.

I think home advantage and the return of Lee Briers could prove decisive for Warrington. Victor Chandler offer 4-1 on a drop-goal being scored in the 80 minutes and I think that's a great offer given this should be tight, the importance of the game and, of course, the presence of one-point specialist Briers.


Last year's finalists Leeds Rhinos head to the KC Stadium to face their tormentors in the 2005 showpiece, Hull FC.

Surely the Airliebirds will improve on their dire showing in the 20-0 defeat to the Rhinos last week, but Paddy Power offer 4-6 on another Leeds win and the gulf between both sides last week suggest that is the mosty sensible bet on offer.

Leeds are also way off the pace in Super League and the Cup offers what is realistically their only chance of silverware. Danny McGuire can lead the way at 12-1 with Stan James for the first try and a Rhinos win by 11-20 points is 10-3 with Paddy Power.

St Helens, winners in 2006, 2007 and 2008 will also realise that Wembley is also their most likely route to success this season and the visit of Hull KR is unlikely to halt their march into the semi-finals.

Winger Jamie Foster is in red-hot form right now, five tries in his last two games, and is the best bet in first try stakes - 8-1 with Hills, while Saints are bound to deliver with a handicap at -14 on offer at 10-11.

In the remaining quarter-final Castleford Tigers welcome Huddersfield Giants and this game is all about the hosts' in-form stand-off Rangi Chase - 16-1 with Sky Bet to grab the first try of the game.

The Giants 36-0 loss at Bradford last week was a real surprise and I think Cas can rub salt into the wounds at 7-4 with Totesport.

If you're chasing a treble, wins for Leeds, Castleford and Warrington combine at a price of 8.5-1.

Super League Betting Tips - Round 21 (Friday)

Wolves pack a punch at 10-11 handicap

WATCHFUL EYE: Tony Smith has transformed Wire into title contenders

Warrington Wolves v Huddersfield Giants

My pre-season tip for Grand Final glory Warrington are still looking red-hot and I think Huddersfield will get their fingers burnt on Friday night.

Wolves' 48-18 win at Castleford Tigers last week was their seventh win from eight in Super League and Tony Smith's table-toppers sit two points above the Giants.

Huddersfield, though, have beaten the Wire twice this campaign and will be keen to halt what is turning into a worrying record on the road.

Nathan Brown has seen his team lose four of their last five on their travels. A 40-12 hammering at champions Wigan suggested the growing belief that the Giants could mix it with the big boys may be a little premature, while losses at Wakefield and Crusaders should have set alarm bells ringing.

Wolves are 10-11 with Skybet with a handicap of minus 12 points and I think they are worth tucking into to claw back that deficit.

The return of Danny Brough, if he makes it, would be a major boost to the visitors – his kicking game has been integral to their attack this season and his combination with stand-off Kevin Brown would not look out of place on the international scene.

That said, Wolves have a terrific squad and, even without the experienced pairing of Adrian Morley and Lee Briers through injury, I expect them to have too much attacking intent for the Giants.

It's a real clash of styles with Huddersfield's game revolving around the boot of Brough and a solid pack, while Wolves love to off-load with a real emphasis on pace and support play. Huddersfield, notorious for  holding on in the tackle, will look to contain Wire's massive pack from getting their arms free and offloading, but it's easier said than done.

These are the top two try-scoring teams in Super League, but the very fact that Warrington have ran in 41 more tries than their nearest rivals, really does highlight their attacking prowess right now.

Richie Myler is a real talent playing on the shoulder and I'd back him to run in the first try at 12-1 with Hills.

SELECTIONS:
Warrington win -12 handicap (10-11 Skybet)
Richie Myler first try (12-1 William Hill)


Hull FC v Salford

Salford are hitting some great form with four wins in five, but I can see them coming unstuck against Hull FC.

This is another contest in which the handicap appeals - bet365 offering 4-5 on an Airliebirds success covering 10 points.

Hull had won three in a row before last week's defeat to St Helens and have steadily improved over recent months. Their convincing 32-16 win over the Reds in round 16 showed they have more than enough about them to condemn Salford to another defeat.

Tom Briscoe bagged two tries against Saints last week and is the man to back in the first scorer stakes – 10-1 with Betfred.

SELECTIONS:

Hull FC win -12 handicap (10-11 Skybet)

Tom Briscoe first try (10-1 Betfred)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 21 (Sat / Sun)

14-1 Webb will weave his magic

FLYING HIGH NOW: Brent Webb is back in great form for Leeds Rhinos

Catalans Dragons v Leeds Rhinos

LEEDS RHINOS are hardly flying right now, but the form of Kiwi full-back Brent Webb is certainly living up to his 'Superman' nickname. 

The 30-year-old has been dogged by injuries in recent seasons, but is returning to the kind of form that saw him clinch a Tri Nations’ winners medal with New Zealand back in 2005.

Webb bagged his fifth try of the season (he has 14 assists) in Leeds’ narrow 26-24 loss at Wigan last week and is a great price at 14-1 (Ladbrokes) to grab the first try of the game in France.

Brian McDermott’s Rhinos, for the second occassion this season, pushed the reigning champions all the way and I think Leeds are a decent shout to edge out an in-form Catalans side.

An aggregate score of 46-44 against the Warriors this season suggests Leeds can still mix it with the best when they raise their game and, four points behind fifth-placed Dragons, McDermott’s men need to hit form soon.

A top-four finish is looking incrasingly unlikely for the former three-in-a-row champions, but Leeds will be desperate to build up some form and momentum for the end of season play-offs.

Keeping Jamie Peacock and Danny McGuire fit is key to Leeds’ aspirations. They look, quite frankly, lost without them.

Both, however, should be in action tomorrow and the away win is available at 11-8 with Skybet.

Trent Robinson’s Dragons will run Leeds close – they have won five of their last six and beat Bradford last time out with only 12 men.

Prior to that run, though, Catalans were soundly beaten 30-6 at Headingley and Leeds have enough strike players to come out on top again.

Both these teams tend to look for tries with ball in hand and have made less attacking kicks than most of their counterparts.

This will suit Leeds most – they were dreadful under the high ball at Wigan.

But Webb, McGuire and Ben Jones-Bishop all looked dangerous against Wigan and that improved display should give the Rhinos a decisive boost for this game.

SELECTION:
Leeds to win (11-8 Skybet)

Best of the rest 

Castleford Tigers welcome the Bradford Bulls and are good value at 10-11 (Skybet) to return to winning ways.

Bradford hoped their win at Leeds would prove the catalyst for a change in fortunes, but defeat to 12-man Catalans shows they still have a long way to go.

Wigan should run out easy winners at Harlequins – a punt on a Cherry and Whites win with a handicap of minus 20 points catches the eye at 10-11 (Skybet).

Resurgent Hull KR, who have ran in a total of 104 points in their last two games, can stay on the
winning trail at bottom club Crusaders – 4-11 with Skybet.

Wakefield, thumped 70-14 by Rovers last week, will be on the end of another hiding – St Helens by 42 points or more is at 4-1 with Coral.

Super League Betting Tips - Round 19 (Saturday / Sunday)

Wigan add Hock to their armoury for Giant clash

BACK TO IMPRESS: Gareth Hock will want to make up for lost time

Wigan v Huddersfield

THE return of Gareth Hock from his two-year drugs ban adds spice to what is already a mouthwatering Super League contest.

The 27-year-old is set to be back on the Wigan bench just 48 hours after the expiry of his high-profile ban, and all eyes will be on how Hock copes after such a lengthy absence.

Hock was banned in June 2009 after testing positive for cocaine, but began training two months ago after getting the green light from the RFL, so will not be ridiculously far off the pace.

Before his enforced spell on the sidelines, Hock had established himself as one of the most destructive second-rowers in the game.

An explosive tackle-buster, always looking for the offload, Hock appeared destined to play a leading role for both club and country.

And who is to say that the Warriors youth academy product will not now live up to his former billing?

Whether Hock can make an impact from the interchange bench against the Giants remains to be seen, but I do expect the champions to wrap up another two points.

Third-placed Wigan are a point behind Huddersfield in second, having played one game less and are 3-10 with Betfred to seal the points that will see them leapfrog their opponents.

Currently just one point off leaders Warrington, it’s fair to say that Wigan are not struggling in the defence of their crown, but Hock can certainly add a new dimension to their game.

There is not one Wigan name in the top 25 players for offloads this season, but expect plenty when Hock is on the field.

Wigan’s game is all about territory and great movement with ball in hand. Wigan’s man in possession enjoys far more options than his opposite number. The Giants rely on a great defence, strong kicking game and the creative flair of Kevin Brown.

But, with Danny Brough out injured, I expect the Giants to fall just short. Nathan Brown’s men have made the second most attacking kicks this term and are third in the rankings for kicks in general play.

Scott Grix is a quality deputy for Brough, but against Wigan you need your top man pulling the strings. I’m tipping a home win by 1-12 points, priced at 11-5 with Stan James.

As for the first tryscorer market, George Carmont stands out at 12-1 (Hills), while Hock is 25-1 (Hills) to grab the final score – a scenario possibly written in the stars.

Winner: Wigan (3-10 BETFRED)
Score Tip: Wigan by 1-12 points (11-5 STAN JAMES)
First Tryscorer: George Carmont (12-1 WILLIAM HILL)

Best of the rest 

Catalan Dragons (3-10 Betfred) have flown up the table of late and can stretch their unbeaten home run to six games against Castleford today.

The French have seen off Wigan and Huddersfield in their last two games at the Stade Gilbert Brutus and Australian scrum-half Scott Dureau (left) is pulling all the right strings.

The Tigers are showing signs of improvement after five defeats in six, drawing against Wigan two weeks ago and following that up with a 15-8 success at Salford last time out. 

Terry Matterson’s side, however, are far too over-reliant on sensational stand-off Rangi Chase, which is making them easy for team’s to read. Catalans look well-priced to win by 1-12 points at 13-5 with Stan James.

Elsewhere, Hull KR (4-7 Hills) can give Justin Morgan a timely boost at Harlequins, while Hull FC should prevail when they visit Wakefield – 3-10 Stan James.

Super League Betting Tips - Round 19 (Friday)

Hungry Wolves will maul Saints

CASE FOR THE DEFENCE: Ben Westwood's tackling has been ferocious

Warrington v St Helens 

Wolves are aiming to seal their first ever Super League double over St Helens and I'm backing Tony Smith's men to do just that at 3-10 with Betfred.

Warrington have been sensational at times this season, top points scorers, best defence and looking very much Grand Final material.

Smith's table-toppers have led the standings for 10 of the 18 rounds this season and look too good for Saints right now.

Royce Simmons visitors may only be three points off the Wire, but punters should read little into that misleading statistic.

Take more notice of this – Wolves have racked up 191 more points than Saints so far this campaign and shipped 103 less points.

At times, a fierce defence and an expansive attack orchestrated by Lee Briers has seen Wolves looking almost unstoppable, while Saints showed very little against Wigan last week to suggest they are ready for this assignment.

With the exception of two defeats to Huddersfield, Wolves have been in great shape against Super League's big hitters this term.

Leeds have been hit for an aggregate score of 82-30, Wigan were humbled 24-6 on their own patch and Saints were also beaten on home turf, 25-18 back in round three.

Saints lacklustre 32-10 loss to the champions last week, allied with a run of four away games without a win, means their price of 11-4 (Boylesports) has little appeal.

Warrington's defence has been brutal this season. Ben Westwood's efforts in particular have hugely impressed, though it is very much a disciplined team unit.

In attack, the likes of Westood, Gareth Carvell, Paul Wood and Adrian Morley have laid the perfect platform for the likes of Brett Hodgson and Briers to weave their magic and, with two of the best centres around in Chris Bridge and Ryan Atkins, Wolves have plenty of ammunition out wide.

One major aspect to Wolves' play is the amount of offloads they are coming up with – 284 in total, that's 83 more than Saints.

It was a high-profile trait during Smith's reign at Leeds that the Rhinos topped the table for offloads and it is no surprise to see the Wire now succeeding with similar tactics.

On the evidence of what I've seen this season, I am left to think that the only question for punters is how many points Warrington will run out winners by.

Led by their two instrumental James's, Roby and Graham, Saints will no doubt put up a fight, but a Wolves win by 21-30 points is worth a punt at 5-1 with Paddy Power.

Warrington to win both halves also catches the eye at 11-8 with bet365.

I've always sang the praises of Bridge, a hugely talented and creative ball-runner, but he also knows the way to the line and he is available at 12-1 with Betfred to grab the first try.

Winner: Warrington (3-10 BETFRED)
Score Tip: Wolves by 21-30 points (5-1 PADDY P) / Wolves win both halves (11-8 BET365)
First Tryscorer: Chris Bridge (12-1 BETFRED) 

11-1 Jones-Bishop will lead Rhinos charge

RHINO RETURN: Jones-Bishop is a great prospect for the Blue and Amber

Leeds v Bradford 

These two teams headed into this corresponding fixture last season in similar predicaments and played out a thrilling 20-20 draw.

Once again Leeds are struggling to establish themselves among the top four, while Bradford, at this stage at least, look no better than 12 months ago.

Skybet offer 25-1 on another share of the spoils, but I think Leeds should have too much for their West Yorkshire rivals.

The Rhinos defence has been shoddy at best this term, but 20 points shipped in their last two games reflects a modicum of improvement in that area.

In attack, the Blue and Amber have run hot and cold, but even if the likes of Danny McGuire, Kevin Sinfield and Brent Webb are just luke warm, you sense the hosts should have too much quality for the Bulls.

Much will be made of Matt Diskin's return to Headingley and I'm confident the home faithful will give the hooker the reception he deserves after more than a decade with Leeds.

With that exception, though, I doubt Diskin's return will be an enjoyable one. Bradford have shown few signs of improvement this season and sneaking into the play-offs is surely coach Mick Potter's most realistic target.

Two wins in nine is hardly helping the Bull's cause and, short of ideas in attack, I think Leeds' defence will cope well enough, despite conceding a few points along the way.

Young winger Ben Jones-Bishop was on fire at the start of the season before injury struck and he can grab the first try of the game on his return to action – best priced 11-1 with Totesport.

McGuire was back on the scoresheet in last week's narrow 12-7 victory at Crusaders and is 12-1 with Betfred to run-in the last try.

Winner: Leeds (2-7 BETFRED)
Score Tip: Leeds by 16-20 points (11-2 BETFRED)
First Tryscorer: Ben Jones-Bishop (11-1 TOTESPORT)


Crusaders v Salford

Crusaders are looking to clinch a hat-trick of wins over the Reds this year and they look great value to do so at 10-11 with Betfred.

Iestyn Harris' Welsh outfit smashed Salford 42-12 in their Cardiff season opener and edged out the Reds 16-10 in round eight.

After a shock 18-16 win at leaders Warrington, Salford were brought back down to earth by Castleford last week and I think basement club Crusaders can continue their recent dominance over the Reds, having won the previous five League meetings.

Harris thought his team were unfortunate to come away from their last contest against the Rhinos empty handed, but he'll be in better spirits after this 80 minutes.

Aussie stand-off Michael Witt is key for Crusaders and he looks nicely priced for the opening score at 16-1 with Betfred.

Winner: Crusaders (10-11 BETFRED)
Score Tip: Crusaders by 1-12 points (2-1 BET365)
First Tryscorer: Michael Witt (16-1 BETFRED)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 18 (Friday)

Wig wham bang, thank you Sam!

DEMOLITION SAM: Tomkins is a match-winner for the Cherry and Whites

St Helens v Wigan

IF the last two games between Wigan and Saints are anything to go by, punters can expect another closely fought thriller this evening.

Widnes’ Stobart Stadium hosts this season’s third installment of what is always an enthralling 80 minutes, as two of Super League’s fiercest rivals fight it out for local bragging rights once more.

Liam Farrell’s last-gasp try sealed a sensational 28-24 Wigan success in April, while Saints bagged a unlikely point with a stunning comeback to draw 16-16 in their Cardiff season opener.

So, with just four points to separate these two teams after 180 minutes of action this campaign and level on 23 points in the standings, taking a punt on another tight contest is surely the best way to cash in.

Victor Chanlder offer 18-1 on the draw which is well worth a flutter. These two sides are evenly matched, with four wins apiece from the last nine derby clashes.

There have been a remarkable seven stalemates already this term and, notably for punters, Wigan and Saints have featured in five of those.

That said, with so much kicking ability on show – Wigan’s Sam Tomkins and Pat Richards, and St Helens’ Jamie Foster and Lee Gasklell, to name a few, Betfred’s 5-1 on a drop goal being scored seems to be a stand-out bet and a great way for punters to cover their stake on the draw.

The after-effects of last Friday’s Origin International, allied to difficult playing conditions, were crucial as both last year’s Grand Finalists were held to surprise draws at Castleford and Bradford on Sunday.

Tomkins and George Carmont return for the Cherry and Whites, while Saints’ centre Francis Meli is back for the hosts, though hooker Scott Moore has been left out after he was arrested on suspicion of drink driving.

Tomkins could well be the key for the champions. His performances at full-back are currently in a league of their own.

If you take today’s opposite number Paul Wellens as a comparative benchmark, it’s clear to see that Tomkins gives Michael Maguire’s Warriors a so much more than any other No.1 in the business.

In 14 appearances, Tomkins has six more tries, two more assists, has made 894 metres, busted through 58 more tackles and made 15 extra clean breaks.

Wigan have a distinct advantage in this area. They have a brilliant full-back who also doubles up as a fantastic stand-off. Tomkins has made 87 kicks in general play this term, including two 40-20’s and his support-play ability to score tries, but his creativity to set-up others is unrivalled.

Tomkins is 19-2 with Betfred to grab the first try, while Wigan can edge this by 1-12 points – 15-8 with bet365.

Top Tips: Drop goal to be scored (5-1 BETFRED)
Winner: Wigan (9-5 STAN JAMES), but the draw (18-1 VC) is worth a little flutter
Score Tip: Wigan by 1-12 points (15-8 bet365)
First Tryscorer: Sam Tomkins (19-2 BETFRED) 

Super Sinfield will make his point

CAPTAIN MARVEL: Leeds' Kevin Sinfield is chasing a new landmark

Crusaders v Leeds 

Leeds captain Kevin Sinfield now needs just seven points to become the second highest scorer in Super League history and the Rhinos legend should have that accolade wrapped up after 80 minutes against rock-bottom Crusaders.

The Rhinos loose forward has racked up 2,370 points in his 14 seasons with the Blue and Amber and should edge past former Wigan captain Andy Farrell's 2,376 to move within touching distance of Paul Deacon with 2,395.

Leeds bounced back from defeats to Warrington and St Helens with an impressive demolition of Hull KR last week and are best priced at 1-5 with Stan James. Ryan Hall weighed in with three tries in that heavy 44-14 success over Rovers, but I'm backing second row forward Weller Hauraki to grab the first try against his old team.

Hauraki is 33-1 with Skybet and a far better prospect than that price reflects. He knows the way to the line and will be pumped up for what is his first outing against the Welsh.

Leeds really need to get their act together if they have serious ambitions of getting back into the top four and, while their defence has been hapless at times this campaign, they still have enough class in attack to win this by 21-25 points at 9-1 with Coral.

Winner: Leeds (1-5 STAN JAMES)
Score Tip: Leeds by 21-25 points (9-1 CORAL)
First Tryscorer: Weller Hauraki (33-1 SKYBET)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 15 (Saturday-Monday)

Brown proving his England case with 8-11 Giants

GIANT INFLUENCE: Kevin Brown's form has been key for Huddersfield

Hull FC v Huddersfield 

Kevin Brown’s omission from England’s elite training squad back in February left rugby league fans up and down the country scratching their heads, and the Huddersfield captain has wasted little time in making a mockery of his surprise snub.

In selecting 32 players ahead of Brown, national boss Steve McNamara has instilled little confidence that he is the right man for the job.

Brown has been the best stand-off in Super League this season, homegrown or otherwise, and must be at a loss to explain McNamara’s decision after finishing last season in equally fine form.

The Wigan academy product has flourished over recent seasons under Giants coach Nathan Brown and has guided Huddersfield to second in the standings, level on points with leaders Warrington.

The Giants are 8-11 (Stan James) to win at the KC Stadium against a Hull (tomorrow, 12.30pm, Sky Sports 1) side who are showing signs of improvement – unbeaten in four now, including a 24-10 win at leaders Wolves.

For me, though, the Airliebirds are a top eight finish at best this season, while the Giants are genuine challengers to lift the title at Old Trafford.

With Brown and scrum-half Danny Brough pulling the strings in attack, teams are finding the Yorkshire side tough to contend with given their notoriously strong defensive effort.

In just 14 games, Hull have shipped almost 100 points more than their opponents and a win by 13+ points looks like the order of the day at 3-1 (SJ).

Brough is a good first try scorer option at 20-1 (Stan James), though popular prop Eorl Crabtree bagged his first two tries of the season in the Giants last outing – a 40-18 destruction of St Helens – and is a great outside bet at 40-1 with the same firm.

Crabtree may often start on the bench, but I expect a tight start and he is good value to make a decisive impact from the bench.

As for Hull, Kirk Yeaman has returned to his best form, topping the try standings with 15 scores and eight of those have come in his last four games. Back Yeaman to round things off with the final try at 12-1 with Stan James.

Winner: Huddersfield (8-11 STAN JAMES)
Score Tip: Giants by 13+ points (3-1 STAN JAMES)
First Tryscorer: Danny Brough (20-1 STAN JAMES) 

Wigan heading into Rover drive

STRIKE IT RICH: Pat Richards is a great first try scorer option at 9-1 (Hills)

Wigan v Hull KR 

Bank holiday Monday’s televised clash sees Wigan welcome Hull KR (6.30pm, Sky Sports 1) and I’ve got some bad news for Justin Morgan’s Rovers... you’re in for a long 80 minutes.

The Cherry and Whites stuttered into the Challenge Cup quarter-finals with a hard-fought win at 12-man Bradford last Sunday, but have been in empathic form in the recent rounds of Super League.

A 18-16 win at Hull KR in round 10 was the first of five successive wins that total a combined score of 184 points to 62.

Hull KR, meanwhile, have been dreadful on their travels, winning just once this term and that was in their season opener against Hull FC at a neutral Millenium Stadium.

A 26-24 loss at struggling Wakefield in their last away outing suggests the Robins could be on the good end of a hiding by the champions and I’m backing the hosts to secure victory by 41+ points at 8-1 (Betfred).

Points machine Pat Richards is 9-1 with Hills to bag the first try and, though, he may be a market leader with some bookies, there's a very good reason why. It's a decent price for a likely outcome.

In the pick of the none televised games this weekend, Bradford showed enough spirit in their 22-26 Cup defeat to Wigan to convince punters they can gain revenge over Salford at 4-11 with Stan James after the Reds thumped the Bulls 56-16 in round 10.

A win by 13+ points against a hit and miss Salford outfit is 11-8 (SJ).

Elsewhere, Castleford have gone off the boil and are without a win in five League games, but Harlequins are themselves winless in seven and the Tigers will get back on track at 1-4 (Coral) in a win by 1-12 points (21-10 bet365).

Winner: Wigan (1-7 BETFRED)
Score Tip:  Wigan by 41+ points (8-1 BETFRED)
First Tryscorer: Pat Richards (9-1 WILLIAM HILL)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 15 (Friday)

14-1 McGuire will lead Rhinos' charge 

TRY MACHINE: Leeds' Danny McGuire remains a great first scorer option

Leeds v Warrington

I know, it has been away a while, but fear not, I've not been on the end of a Gareth Raynor right-hook, just a little snowed under at work.

This preview should hopefully herald a triumphant return and I'm backing a resurgent Leeds to beat Warrington – best priced at 9-5 with Stan James.

Six successive wins in all competitions has restored confidence among Rhinos fans after a shaky start, but they now sit just three points off Friday night's opponents and league leaders Warrington.

Wolves cruised to a 40-24 victory over Leeds in round four, but the Blue and Amber have steadily improved and are a much sterner test with England duo Jamie Peacock and Danny McGuire back in their ranks.

McGuire and full-back Brent Webb return from short injury stints on the sidelines to boost Leeds' support play artillery and you need look no further for a first try-scorer tip.

McGuire is always my first port of call in this market where Leeds are concerned and the 14-1 on offer from Hills should be gobbled up. His timing and anticipation, playing on the shoulder of his forwards remains of the highest order.

The loss of Keith Senior will be a blow to the Rhinos but, with Webb back at full-back, can Lee Smith return to form at centre? 

The former union convert was a stand-out performer before his brief flirtation with the other code, but has struggled to find his feet since...

Punters should take note that Wolves, despite their vast improvement under the guidance of Tony Smith, have failed to win at Headingley on their last four visits.

Leeds have been comprehensively beaten by Wolves, Huddersfield and St Helens so far this campaign, but now in better form, I rate Brian McDermott's team as a decent shout to get one over on his former Leeds mentor Smith.

The Rhinos, despite a few suggestions from the Sky Sports punditry team to the contrary, are far from a spent force, as shown in their 22-22 draw with champions Wigan.

Leeds should have ran out easy winners in that contest, but for some kamikaze defence, and now with Peacock and McGuire to lead the way, I think they'll find the inspiration needed to see off the Wire.

It will be a stern test of Leeds' credentials this season. Smith has Warrington running red-hot. Statistically, they have the top attack and defence in the league, scoring over 100 points more than their nearest rival, ironically Leeds.

Amazingly, Wolves have racked up 312 points and conceded only 14 in their last four games in all competitions. They are my tip to win the Grand Final, but they'll be a few defeats along the way. Leeds are due a result against one of the big guns.

That said, if Leeds offer up another lacklustre 80 minutes of defensive lapses, it would be no surprise to see Wolves run riot yet again. 

But I think Leeds will be switched on for this one. They need to make a statement. They must prove to themselves that they can still beat the best.

Leeds' defensive efforts this term would suggest a home win would need to be a close run affair and a 1-12 points success catches the eye at 10-3 with Coral. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Kevin Sinfield put over a one-pointer and a drop goal is 9-2 with Betfred.

Winner: Leeds (9-5 STAN JAMES)
Score Tip: Leeds by 1-12 points (10-3 CORAL)
First Tryscorer: Danny McGuire (14-1 WILLIAM HILL)

Super League Round 7 (Saturday and Sunday)

LAND OF THE GIANTS: Willie Mason will line-up against Eorl Crabtree

Hull KR v Huddersfield Giants (Saturday)

BIG Willie Mason, as his name suggests, rarely gives little away in size but Huddersfield Giants’ Eorl Crabtree provides one such anomaly.

The Yorkshire club’s popular prop, nephew of legendary professional wrestler Shirley “Big Daddy” Crabtree, stands two inches taller than his Austrlian counterpart at 6ft 6in and looks set to play his part in an almighty clash of the titans down the middle of the park.

Mason himself is anything but popular on these shores after flooring Stuart Fielden and Sean Long in off-the-ball incidents during Great Britain’s 2006 Tri-Nations campaign.

The 30-year-old will no doubt be a target for some of Super League’s more volatile characters and the Giants’ mean forward line will provide Mason with his sternest test in England to date.

Huddersfield, who have enjoyed one of the top defensive records over the last few years in Super League, have shipped just 92 points in six games.

TALL ORDER: Can Crabtree inspire Huddersfield to beat Hull KR?

With Rovers missing their creative lynchpin, half-back Michael Dobson, the Giants look outstanding value at 8-13 with Betfred to outscore their hosts.

Dobson’s boot is integral to Rovers’ gameplan and I expect his 10-week absence due to ankle surgery to hit the Robins hard.

Mason’s arrival is a boost, but four defeats from their opening six contests suggests coach Justin Morgan needs his talisman back sooner, rather than later.

Without Dobson’s kicking game, the emphasis is on Rovers’ pack to make up the hard yards and they are struggling.

And, while it is the clash of the giants in Mason and Crabtree that provides a great sub-plot to this clash, it is Huddersfield’s hooker Luke Robinson and stand-off Kevin Brown that will prove decisive.

Robinson made a try-scoring return from injury last week and his lively attacking play makes him an eye-catching 20-1 with Hills to grab the first try.

Nathan Brown’s men had enough possession and territory to bag the points in last week’s 20-6 defeat to Wigan, but made some poor final decisions against the competition’s best defence.

I can’t see that happening twice and, thanks to their solid defence, the Giants can clinch this by 13+ points at 7-4 with Blue Square.

Winner: Giants to win (8-13 Betfred)
Score Tip: Giants by 13+ points (7-4 Blue Square)
First Tryscorer: Luke Robinson (20-1 William Hill)


Catalans v Salford (Saturday)

IN today’s other contest, Catalans can clinch two points against Salford in France. The Dragons were 32-22 victors at Crusaders last time out and were marginally defeated by Saints in their last home
fixture.

Trent Robinson’s men (1-3 Betfred) face a tough task against a Salford side who romped past Hull KR last week, but the City Reds have been battered in two of their three away games and look a little vulnerable on the road.

Australian Scott Dureau has seven tries to his name already and is sparkling with value at 25-1 (Hills) to open the scoring.

Winner: Catalans to win (1-3 Betfred)
Score Tip: Catalans by 1-12 points (12-5 Paddy Power)
First Tryscorer: Scott Dureau (25-1 William Hill)


Wakefield Wildcats v Leeds Rhinos (Sunday)

Tomorrow’s action should see Leeds Rhinos – desperate to entertain this season with a staggering 113 offloads already – return to winning ways at Wakefield.

The Blue and Amber enjoyed enough possession and territory to beat Saints with some ease last week, but coach Brian McDemott’s over emphasis on entertaining rugby is costing Leeds points.

Too many knock-ons and dropped ball are hurting Leeds right now but, with a little fine tuning, this approach may deliver. On paper, the Rhinos, despite a bulky injury list, should edge this with few problems at 2-11 with Betfred.

Young centre Kallum Watkins is a real talent and nicely priced to grab the first try at 12-1 with Hills.

Winner: Leeds to win (2-11 Betfred)
Score Tip: Leeds by 16-20 points (11-2 Stan James)
First Tryscorer: Kallum Watkins (12-1 William Hill)


Castleford v Crusaders (Sunday)

Early pace-setters Castleford can return to winning ways against a Crusaders outfit who have lost their last five games.

Jarrod Sammut has run in six tries for the Welsh side, but the Tigers have been very impressive at The Coliseum and I expect them to bag another two points – 1-4 with Hills.

Ranghi Chase has been running the show for Terry Matterson’s men, but I’m backing full-back Richie Mathers to grab his first Tigers try at 22-1 (Betfred).

Winner: Castleford to win (1-4 William Hill)
Score Tip: Tigers by 21-25 points (9-1 William Hill)
First Tryscorer: Ritchie Mathers (22-1 Betfred)


Harlequins v Hull FC (Sunday)

In this weekend’s final match, home advantage should prove enough for Harlequins to edge out a out-of-sorts Hull FC to increase the pressure on coach Richard Agar (11-8 Sky Bet).

Quins were spanked last time out by Wolves, so will be up for this one, while the Airlie Birds have looked clueless at times this campaign.

Winner: Quins to win (11-8 Sky Bet)
Score Tip: Quins by 1-12 points (15-8 bet365)
First Tryscorer: Luke Dorn (10-1 William Hill)

Super League Round 6 (Friday)

LUKE-ING UP: Luke Robinson is integral to Huddersfield Giants' challenge

Huddersfield v Wigan 

LEAGUE leaders Huddersfield will underline their Grand Final hopes tonight by becoming the first team to beat champions Wigan.

Nathan Brown’s Giants have stormed to four wins from their opening five fixtures, including a 28-18 opening day success over Challenge Cup holders – and my tip to be crowned winners at Old Trafford – Warrington.

The form of stand-off Kevin Brown, the Giants’ newly-appointed captain, has been inspirational, but the truth is that Huddersfield have been knocking on the door for a few years now.

Australian coach Brown has instilled a fantastic, disciplined defensive side to the Giants game, while the likes of the talismanic Brown, Luke Robinson and Danny Brough ensure the League leaders have plenty of creative juices pumping through their veins.

The Giants, who showed all their attacking prowess in a 50-16 mauling of Bradford last week, are 8-13 with Betfred to beat Michael Maguire’s Cherry and Whites, and I rate that as a stunning price.

The Warriors will be missing two of their top performers in brothers Sam and Joel Tomkins through suspension, while Paul Deacon, Pat Richards and Brett Finch are out injured.

The future of missing centre Martin Gleeson is also up in the air and a home win by 13+ points (2-1 Stan James) certainly catches the eye.

This contest does, however, showcase two of the League’s best defences and a Giants’ margin of victory by 6-10 points could prove a much safer option for punters (13-2 Betfred).

As for the first try market, Danny Brough has two tries to his name already and looks a class act now he has had time to settle in at one of Super League’s big contenders. Brough is 16-1 across the board, while the equally influential Brown is a stand-out 16-1 (Skybet) to round off the scoring with the final try of the game.

Winner: Giants (8-13 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Danny Brough (16-1 Skybet)


Crusaders v Catalans

Crusaders coach Iestyn Harris got off to flyer with a

42-12 win over Salford in Cardiff, but is now looking to end a run of four successive defeats.

Notoriously poor travellers Catalans should provide the former Great Britain stand-off with the perfect opportunity to set that record straight and the Welsh are good value for the two points at 10-11 with Stan James.

Captain Jack Sparrow look-alike Jarrod Sammut has started the season in fine form, with five tries to his name already, and is 16-1 (Skybet) to grab the first four-pointer of the contest.


Winner: Crusaders (10-11 Stan James)
First Tryscorer: Jarrod Sammut (16-1 Skybet)


Hull FC v Wakefield

THE Airlie Birds came mightily close to toppling Wigan last week, but will bag their second win of the campaign against the Wildcats (1-20 Hills).

A 42-18 thumping of Catalans in their last outing at the KC Stadium suggests Hull should have few problems seeing off John Kear’s rock-bottom side.

Wakey have lost four from five this term and are struggling to get over the whitewash – just 88 points to their name thus far. Nigerian-born Will Sharp has notched up four tries already this season, and can get the hosts up and running with the first tonight at 8-1 with Skybet.

Winner: Hull FC (1-20 Hills)
First Tryscorer: Will Sharp (8-1 Skybet)


Salford v Hull KR

AUSTRALIAN man-mountain Willie Mason made a terrific debut in Rovers’ 40-22 win over Crusaders last week and can inspire Justin Morgan’s men to a third win of the campaign.

Mason was at his tackle-busting and offloading best last week, while Salford, who have shipped more points than any other team, were getting spanked by an injury-hit Leeds Rhinos.

Back Ben Galea to get the first try (16-1 Skybet) in a Robins win (2-5 Betfred).

Winner: Hull KR (2-5 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Ben Galea (16-1 Skybet)

Super League Round 5 (Friday)

C-ASH IN: Salford's Ashley Gibson is 16-1 with Hills to bag the first try

Leeds v Salford 

The Rhinos' injury crisis deepens every passing week and Salford will have no better opportunity to grab what would be only their second ever win over the Blue and Amber in the Super League era.

The Reds are best priced at 5-1 with Boylesports and, in the words of Leeds coach Brian McDermott, must be "rubbing their hands together on two fronts.

"They'll be thinking our pack is a bit lightweight and, if you look at the footage from last week, they'll be thinking all they have to do is get near the try line and they'll come up with some joy."

True enough, Leeds' error prone efforts and lacklustre defence in their 40-24 defeat at Warrington, allied with that mounting injury list, suggests Salford are in with a shout at Headingley.

The Rhinos will line-up without a recognised prop, with Jamie Peacock, Ryan Bailey, Kylie Leuluai and Luke Burgess all sidelined, while Aussie recruit Ben Cross misses out through suspension.

Salford, meanwhile, have virtually no injury concerns and look destined to boss this game down the middle of the park. Ian Kirke and Jamie Jones-Buchanan will be pushed up into Leeds' front row and will need to play out of their skin if the hosts are to prevail.

Leeds clearly have enough creativity and pace in their backs to cause problems, but at a pathetic 1-7 with Hills, the Rhinos are best avoided. Salford are the only team worth backing in this contest and decent value at 5-1.

Winner: Salford (5-1 Boylesports)
Score Tip: Salford by 1-5 points (10-1 William Hill)
First Tryscorer: Ashley Gibson (16-1 William Hill)

St Helens v Harlequins 

Quins bright start was halted by Huddersfield last week and St Helens are 1-7 favourites with Betfred to inflict back-to-back defeats on Rob Powell's men.

The Londoners have only beaten Saints once in Super League and will struggle to contain a James Roby inspired St Helens at the Halton Stadium.

Roby is already flourishing thanks to the extra game time provided by Keiron Cunningham's retirement, with the hooker topping Super League's ball carrying metres table – 762 and counting.

The 25-year-old is also towards the top of the offloads standings and Roby's ability to drive Saints forward at pace will prove decisive in this contest.

Australian prop Josh Perry will be making his Saints' bow and will certainly give Quins plenty of food for thought in the middle of the park.

Winner: Saints to win (1-7 Betfred)
Score Tip: Saints by 21-55 points (15-2 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Paul Wellens (14-1 William Hill) 

Wakefield v Warrington 

Wolves were rampant against Leeds last Saturday and I can't see anything other than a fourth straight win for Tony Smith's impressive team at 1-12 (Betfred).

Teenage centre Rhys Evans was the stand-out performer in that 40-24 defeat of Leeds, but there was plenty of Warrington players who caught the eye, particularly hooker Michael Monaghan.

It seems inevitable that the Wildcats will succumb to a third successive defeat. Heavy losses to Salford and Bradford, two teams who will certainly finish below Warrington in the standings, does not bode well.

Warrington are 15-2 with Betfred to win by more than 41 points and, sadly for Wakey fans, I wouldn't rule it out. The Wire are running red-hot right now.

Warrington's Chris Riley has scored tries in the Wolves' last three Super League meetings with Wakefield and he therefore is the obvious tip to open the scoring at 10-1 with sportingbet.

Winner: Warrington to win (1-12 Betfred)
Score Tip: Warrington by 41+ points (15-2 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Chris Riley (10-1 sportingbet)

Super League Round 4 (Saturday)

FRIENDS REUNITED: Wolves boss Tony Smith can guide his team to
victory against former club Leeds Rhinos at the Halliwell Jones Stadium 

Warrington v Leeds (Saturday)

LEEDS RHINOS endured an injury-hit start to last season and they are having no better luck so far this campaign, with four first teamers ruled out for the trip to Wolves.

New coach Brian McDermott tasted success in his first two contests against Bradford and Hull FC, but a combination of injuries and a lacklustre performance saw Leeds fall to pace-setters Quins last Friday.

The Rhinos, 13-8 with Betfred, were without Brent Webb, Carl Ablett, Brett Delaney, Ryan Bailey, Jamie Peacock and Danny McGuire through injury against Quins and require a giant effort to edge out a Wire side so impressive in turning over St Helens last week.

Kyle Leuluai is now another injury casualty, though Ablett, Webb and Bailey are all back in contention for this clash. It should be a great contest, but I'm backing Warrington boss boss Tony Smith to bag two points against his former club.

Lee Briers helped himself two tries in that success over Saints and is 20-1 (Stan James) to grab the first try, while the hosts are 1-2 with Betfred to prevail.

Leeds have enough talent to put up a fight, but I can see a Wolves win by 6-10 points (5-1 Hills), with Richie Myler's fine support play making him a terrific price to grab the final try at 16-1 with Skybet.

Winner: Warrington to win (1-2 Betfred)
Score Tip: Wolves to win by 11-15 points (7-1 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Lee Briers (20-1 Stan James)

Catalans Dragons v St Helens (Saturday)

WITH Kyle Eastmond's end-of-season switch to Union now confirmed, St Helens are free to focus on racking up some points rather than hanging onto their best young talent and a trip to France is just what the doctor ordered.

Last week's loss to Warrington will give Saints all the incentive they need to bounce back to winning ways and at 4-11 with Betfred, the bookies clearly agree that the visitors have this one in the bag.

After a surprise loss to Wakefield on home soil, Catalans responded well with a shock win of their own at Hull KR, but I think Saints should be clear winners here and bet365's 11-8 on an away win by 13+ points should be snapped up.

As for a first tryscorer, there's only one man to back. Eastmond is 14-1 with Hills to bag the first four-pointer and, with the speculation out of the window, he'll show his worth.

Winner: St Helens to win (4-11 Betfred)
Score Tip: Saints to win by 13+ points (11-8 bet365)
First Tryscorer: Kyle Eastmond (14-1 Stan James)

Super League Round 4 (Friday)

A GIANT PRICE: Kevin Brown is a great shout to bag the first try at 20-1

It's been a tough start to my debut rugby league tipping blog, thanks largely due to busy recruiting in the off-season and some surprising results. But having now seen all the contenders in action a few times, hopefully you can all cash in on some decent price winners...

Harlequins v Huddersfield (Friday)

Did any of you fancy Harlequins to top the standings after three games? No, me neither, but I’m backing Huddersfield to bring a touch of normality to Super League XVI on Friday night.

Quins stunned Leeds last week with a well-deserved 36-26 success at Headingley, but it’s worth pointing out that the Rhinos were missing some key names.

Narrow wins over Catalans and Crusaders proceeded that win in West Yorkshire, but 2-5 (Betfred) Huddersfield will provide young Quins coach Rob Powell with his sternest test to date.

Nathan Brown’s Giants boast a clean bill of health and, with the exception of a below-par effort at Castleford, have looked very impressive in wins over Hull FC (20-10) and Warrington (28-18).

Stand-off Kevin Brown just keeps on improving and was the catalyst for all the Giants best attacking moves against the Airlie Birds last week. Back Huddersfield’s captain to lead by example by grabbing the first try as Quins finally taste defeat.

Winner: Huddersfield to win (2-5 Betfred)
Score Tip: Giants to win by 13+ points (7-4 Blue Square)
First Tryscorer: Kevin Brown (20-1 Skybet)

Hull FC v Crusaders (Friday)

Three successive defeats to open the campaign has intensified the pressure on Hull coach Richard Agar and I think this clash is a tough one to call.

I’ve seen enough from Iestyn Harris’ team to suggest the Welsh will be competitive this season and Crusaders are an eye-catching price at 9-4 with Victor Chandler.

Sean Long’s long standing Achilles’ injury rules out the veteran scrum-half and though Australian’s Craig Fitzgibbon and Mark O’Meley bring plenty of power down the middle, I think Hull really are lacking a creative spark right now.

At a short 2-5 (Stan James), the Airlie Birds offer little value and I certainly rate Crusaders as a decent outside bet at 9-4 (Stan James). If you do fancy Hull to finally deliver, then I’d definitely advise taking a punt on a small margin of victory to find a decent price - Stan James offer 13-2 on a Hull win by 1-5 points.

Winner: Crusaders to win (9-4 Stan James)
Score Tip: Back up bet of Hull to win by 1-5 points (13-2 Stan James)
First Tryscorer: Tom Briscoe (10-1 William Hill)

Salford v Wigan (Friday)

Shaun McRae has been given a month's leave from Salford on health grounds and that's definitely a smart move, because a visit from the champions is not what they need at The Willows right now.

Seriously though, McRae should have taken leave on health grounds years ago. Perhaps ITV's Biggest Loser has finally inspired Sky Sports' fattest pundit into action.

I doubt McRae's absence will have little effect on proceedings in this one though, where Wigan, despite a few weary legs no doubt from their tussle with St George, are easy winners at 1-5 with Hills.

Amos Roberts was the best player in Super League before injury struck last term and now, with some decent game time under his belt, he can run riot against a Salford side already thrashed by heavy scores against Crusaders and Saints this campaign. Roberts is 11-1 with sportingbet to grab the opening try.

The Reds win at Wakey last week will count for little against the Cherry and Whites. A Wigan win by 41+ points at 10-1 with Betfred is not out of the question.

Winner: Wigan to win (1-5 William Hill)
Score Tip: Wigan to win by 41+ points (10-1 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Amos Roberts (11-1 sportingbet)

World Club Challenge

WORLD AT HIS FEET: Sam Tomkins can showcase his talents tonight

Wigan Warriors v St George Illawarra Dragons

WIGAN WARRIORS are fighting to be crowned World Club champions against NRL winners St George Illawarra Dragons this weekend and Michael Maguire’s men will take some stopping at evens with William Hill.

After English dominance in this event for five successive years, Manly bucked that trend by beating Leeds in 2009 and Melbourne Storm repeated the trick at Elland Road 12 months ago. The strength of the NRL and Aussie stronghold on the international scene seals the Dragons as marginal favourites  for this contest – 4-5 with Hills.

However, there is plenty to suggest punters should be backing the Cherry and Whites. Firstly, home advantage, as always, goes to the English team and, in Wigan’s case, that means a sell-out partisan crowd at their very own DW Stadium.

Secondly, the Dragons, unlike Manly and Melbourne before them, have opted not to play a warm-up game on these shores – a fatal error in my book. Wigan will hit the ground battle hardened after a full pre-season and two Super League matches already under their belts.

In contrast, the NRL has yet to kick-off and it is a serious lack of respect on Illwarra’s part to head into this clash without any match preparation.

St George’s legendary coach Wayne Bennett has flown home on compassionate grounds, which is a massive blow to the visitors.

Maguire’s men blew a 16-0 lead to draw with St Helens in their season opener, but cut through the Bulls with ominous ease at Odsal last week and are just too good to turn down at Hills’ double-your-money price.

St George’s man to watch out for is 23-year-old full-back Darius Boyd. A prodigious talent, equally skilled on the wing or at centre, Boyd adds a creative touch to what is largely a well disciplined and workmanlike outfit.

His opposite number, Sam Tomkins, is the best talent in the British game and I expect Super League’s young player of the year to deliver.

A Grand Final try suggests he is the man for the big occassion and, at 12-1 (Hills) for the first try, his timely support play and notorious sidestep could well reward punters.

Winner: Wigan (Evens William Hill)
Score Tip: Wigan to win by 13+ points (4-1 bet365)
First Tryscorer: Sam Tomkins (12-1 William Hill)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 3 (Friday)

SHOULD I STAY OT SHOULD I GO? Kyle Eastmond is in talks about a
possible move to rugby union, but has been in fine form for Saints

 St Helens v Warrington (Friday)

I MAY have tipped Warrington for success this year, but it’s impossible to ignore The Wire’s  hoodoo against Saints.

The Wolves have won just one of 31 Super League games against St Helens and have yet to taste victory at Knowsley Road in the summer era.

Regardless of this contest taking place at Widness’ Stobart Stadium ¬- Saints temporary home during their own ground developments – it would be crazy for punters to ignore Warrington’s horrific form in this fixture.

Royce Simmons’ team followed up their sensational comeback against champions Wigan in the opening round with an emphatic 56-22 romp at Salford and look good value for another two points at 4-9 with Stan James.

James Roby and Kyle Eastmond were both back to their best last week and will prove influential once again, though Wolves’ Michael Monaghan is also showing some terrific form.

Monaghan will be at the hub of Warrington’s best work and Tony Smith’s men have more than enough quality to push Saints all the way. Sadly for Wire fans though, there seems to be a psychological barrier that their team just cannot pass in this fixture.

Winner: St Helens (4-9  Stan James)
Score Tip: Saints to win by 1-5 points (13-2 Betfred)
First Tryscorer: Kyle Eastmond (14-1 William Hill)

FAMILIAR FACE: Leeds' Ben Jones-Bishop impressed on-loan at The Stoop
last season and can sink his old pals at Headingley on Friday night

Leeds v Harlequins (Friday)

SECOND hosts third at Headingley and, despite Leeds’ growing injury list, I expect Harlequins’ flying start to come to a sudden halt.

Rob Powell’s men spanked Salford at Cardiff and edged out Crusaders at The Stoop last week, but the Rhinos have shown enough form early on to suggest an upset is not on the cards, even though Betfred’s 1-9 on a home win is far too short.

Brian McDermott will be missing Carl Ablett, Ryan Bailey, Ben Cross, Jamie Peacock and Danny McGuire, but the early performances of Rob Burrow, Kallum Watkins and Ben Jones-Bishop tell me the Rhinos will have plenty of points in them in this 80 minutes.

Jones-Bishop has been in scintillating form, scoring a terrific long range solo try in the win at Hull last week and is worth a punt in both the first and last try-scorer markets at 11-1 with Hills to add to his three tries this campaign.

Winner: Leeds (1-9  Betfred)
Score Tip: Leeds to win by 16-20 points (11-2 Totesport)
First Tryscorer: Ben Jones-Bishop (11-1 William Hill)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 2 (Friday)

WAT A FUTURE: Kallum Watkins is set for a big season with the Rhinos

Hull FC v  Leeds Rhinos

LEEDS have won their last six contests against the Airlie Birds and Skybet’s 4-7 on Brian McDermott’s Rhinos is worth tucking into.

Youngsters Kallum Watkins, 19, and Ben Jones-Bishop, 22, are two of the most prodigious up and coming talents in the game and combined superbly as the latter crossed the whitewash to complete a dramatic Leeds comeback in Cardiff last Sunday.

Centre Watkins and winger Jones-Bishop certainly look like being two to watch in Sky Sport’s first Friday night clash of the campaign, as is second-rower Weller Hauraki.

The former Parramatta Eel, set for his Rhinos debut after finally bagging a work permit, was hugely impressive for Crusaders last term and I expect him to flourish alongside some of Leeds’ star names.

The Black and Whites came flying out of the blocks against Hull KR last week, but quickly, and worrying I’m sure for coach Richard Agar, fell away.

A 14-0 lead ended in a comprehensive 34-22 defeat and, if there is any team in Super League you need to stay switched on for 80 minutes against, it is the Rhinos.

I can see a similar pattern emerging at the KC Stadium, with a strong opening from the hosts, for who new recruit Sam Obst should feature, but Leeds proving the stronger come the final hooter. Paddy Power offer 13-2 that Hull lead at half-time, with Leeds ending victorious and that’s a cracking price.

Watkins is 16-1 with Hills to bag the final try and it would come as no surprise to see the Leeds ace reward punters while underlining his undoubted potential.

Winner: Leeds (4-7 Skybet)
Score Tip: Leeds to win by 1-12 points (2-1 Stan James)
First Tryscorer: Kirk Yeaman (16-1 Sportingbet)


Salford v St Helens

SAINTS boss Royce Simmons will be cursing an injury list that deprives him of James Graham, Leon Pryce, Gary Wheeler and new signing Josh Perry, but at least rugby union target Kyle Eastmond is still expected to feature and see out the last year of his contract.

St Helens comeback from 16-0 down against arch rivals and champions Wigan last week emphasised to any doubters that Saints will once again be challenging come Grand Final reckoning, while Salford’s 42-12 crushing at the hands of Crusaders should convince punters there can be only one winner at The Willows.

Salford had been tipped in many quarters to mount a challenge for the play-offs, but last week’s showing was a rude awakening for Reds’ fans.

Saints may be without some key names, but a comfortable win is surely on the cards, with James Roby and the irrepressible Tony Puletua, inspirational in last Saturday’s late heroics, leading the charge for the visitors.

Winner: St Helens (1-3 Betfred)
Score Tip: St Helens win by 16-20 points (6-1 Hills)
First Tryscorer: James Roby (20-1 Hills)

Super League Betting Tips - Round 1 (Sunday)

DISK-O TIME: Can new Bulls hooker Matt Diskin get Bradford ticking over?

 Crusaders v Salford

A crack at the Super League play-offs is not out of the question for Salford this campaign after Shaun McRae brought in a wealth of experienced players in the off-season.

The likes of Stephen Wild, Chris Nero, Vinnie Anderson, Sean Gleeson, Iafeta Paleassina and Phil Bailey will ensure McRae’s men are much more competitive than last time out and I’m backing Salford to get off to a flyer by bagging the points against Crusaders.

Iestyn Harris beings his Super League coaching career with a four point deficit due to the Crusaders going into administration but, in Jarrod Sammut, he has an exciting talent who can inspire the Welsh to some surprise victories.

Winner: Salford (8-13 Stan James)
Score Tip: Salford by 1-12 points (15-8 Blue Square)
First Tryscorer: Ashley Gibson (14-1 William Hill)

Bradford v Leeds

Mick Potter has included all 10 of his new signings for the derby with Leeds and there is certainly a few interesting sub-plots to this West Yorkshire clash.

Former Rhinos stalwarts Chev Walker and Matt Diskin will line-up for the Bulls, while many are interested to see how Leeds’ new coaching duo of former Bradford men Brian McDermott and James Lowes will get on.

And then there’s also the small matter of official Steve Ganson taking charge after the chaos he caused with Leeds last-gasp win at this very ground in 2007!

Potter has, perhaps wisely, recruited players with something to prove, but it’s hard to see Bradford’s new team clicking together instantly and, though Leeds are missing Jamie Peacock and Danny McGuire, they still boast an established squad with plenty of quality.

McDermott has expressed his desire to see his Leeds team adopt an exciting brand of rugby league this term and where better to indulge in that expansive style of play than on Cardiff’s giant pitch.

Winner: Leeds (2-5 William Hill)
Score Tip: Leeds by 13+ points (17-10 bet365)
First Tryscorer: Weller Hauraki (28-1 Sportingbet)

Hull FC v Hull KR

What a way to end the opening weekend as the Airlie Birds and Robins tear into each other in Cardiff!

Two evenly matched sides in my eyes after watching both Super League derbies between these two in 2010 but, with Sean Long fit and raring to go, I’m going to side with Hull FC for this one.

Loose-forward Joe Westerman is a hugely talented player who may shine further in a new environment, while visa problems rob opponents Hull KR of their major off-season signing, Willie Mason.

Winner: Hull FC (Evens Stan James)
Score Tip: Hull FC by 1-5 points (5-1 Stan James)
First Tryscorer: Kirk Yeaman (16-1 Stan James)